The 70% economy of Puerto Rico

Q2/2020 – The 70% Puerto Rico Economy

Analysis of economic indices in Q2-2020 for Puerto Rico
As of Q2-2020, the Puerto Rico economy is an average 70% of what the quarterly indices used to be in Q2-2006, just before the onset of the current economic depression. This reduction in the economy is miserable and far from “normal”. By all major metrics, most economic sectors have been adversely affected and the fear of a second wave of Covid-19 will cause even more financial hardship to households, municipal, and the central government in PR. Even before the Covid-19 pandemic, unemployment was far worse than the official unemployment rate. The effects of the Covid-19 induced recession will likely be profound and long-lasting. Fear of the disease and uncertainty regarding prospects for a vaccine or whether immunity will endure impacts consumers and the goods and services they normally buy and sponsor. Many businesses are also strapped for cash reserves and cannot withstand continued lockdown or even partial lockdown. No doubt, joblessness will worsen and cause even casual work hard to come by.

Economic Pulse

June 2020: Our Pulse Stops Beating

Decades of in-depth analysis of the Puerto Rico Economy

We came of age last year and today, after 22 years of service to our valued subscribers, we have decided to end our monthly newsletter of PR Economic Pulse. It has been an honor and a privilege to provide our clients with a diverse agenda of important and relevant topics as well as forecasts of the Puerto Rico economy. Against all odds, we provided research and analysis of complex and often pivotal topics relevant for business strategic planning and insight into public policies that shape our economy. Our editorial goal has always been to add value to our clients and analyze complex economic crises into comprehensible, common-sense, and pragmatic explanations. It has not always been easy, given the dire situation with economic data in real time. I still believe that now more than ever, businesses, small, medium, and large need to be guided by economic analysis just as the Covid-19 pandemic must be guided by science. Unfortunately, not all agree with our assessment.

Throughout the years, we have had valuable and loyal clients, but after 13 years of economic depression, hurricanes, earthquakes, the Covid-19 induced recession, and the inefficiency of government and the PROMESA Board, it is time to move on.

Still, you can follow our analysis, in “La Voz de Heidie Calero” every Thursday on YouTube. Our 5-minute capsules try to add value to you, our audience.

It has been quite a journey!